Current:Home > InvestThe alarming reason why the heat waves in North America, Europe are so intense -LegacyBuild Academy
The alarming reason why the heat waves in North America, Europe are so intense
SignalHub Quantitative Think Tank Center View
Date:2025-04-08 15:37:01
The dangerous heat waves currently plaguing North America and Europe would be "virtually impossible" without anthropogenic, or human-caused, climate change, according to a new report.
Intense weeks-long heat waves have been continuously breaking heat records on both continents, with no relief in sight. In Europe, prolonged sizzling temperatures are expected in countries like Italy, Spain, France, Germany and Poland, the European Space Agency announced last week. Regions in the U.S. that have been experiencing record-breaking heat, including the Southwest and Southeast, will continue to experience scorching temperatures for the foreseeable future, forecasts show.
MORE: Severe heat forecast: Where scorching temperatures will persist over the next week
The heat waves occurring in Europe, North America and China throughout July would not have been possible without global warming, according to a rapid attribution analysis by World Weather Attribution, an academic collaboration that uses weather observations and climate models to calculate how climate change influences the intensity and likelihood of extreme weather events.
Temperatures have skyrocketed to 45 degrees Celsius -- or 113 degrees Fahrenheit -- in some regions, prompting heat alerts, wildfires and heat-related hospital admissions and deaths, the researchers said.
The recent heat waves are no longer considered "unusual," as the continued warming from greenhouse gas emissions will cause future heat waves to be even hotter unless emissions are drastically cut, according to the report.
Climate change has made heatwaves hotter, longer and more frequent, evidence shows. The researchers studied the periods of most dangerous heat in each of the regions, and found that these heat waves are no longer rare due to warming caused by burning fossils and other human activities, the report found.
MORE: Mix of extreme heat and wildfire smoke can be very dangerous, experts say
The study also found that climate change made the current heatwave in China at least 50 times more likely and that current temperatures in Europe and North America would not have been impossible without the effects of burning coal, oil and gas, deforestation and other human activities.
Temperatures in Europe have measured about 2.5 degrees Celsius -- or 36.5 degrees Fahrenheit -- more than normal, while the heat wave in North America was about 2 degrees Celsius -- or 35.6 degrees Fahrenheit -- higher, the analysis found. China was also at 1 degree Celsius -- or 33.8 degrees Fahrenheit -- higher, according to the report.
Events like these now have a 10% chance of occurring any given year in Europe and about a 6.7% chance of occurring in any given year in the U.S., the analysis found. Without human-induced climate change, extreme heat would likely be limited to just once every 250 years, while heat waves of the magnitude of what has been experienced in July would have been virtually impossible.
Because these heat events are expected to become more frequent, the need for humans to adapt and increase greenhouse gas mitigation efforts is vital, the researchers said.
"Our adaptation to that rapid change hasn't occurred fast enough that we are able to see them as common events at this point," Julie Arrighi, manager of the Red Cross Red Crescent Climate Centre in The Netherlands, told reporters during a news conference on Monday. "And so it underscores the need for our systems to adapt much faster, because the risks are rising faster than we are adapting."
MORE: European heat wave breaking records with little relief in sight
If global temperatures reach a 2-degree Celsius rise in temperatures since the 1800s, the heat waves will become even more frequent and extreme and occur every two to five years, according to the report. Temperatures have already risen about 1.2 Celsius since the late 1800s, according to climate scientists.
"In the past, these events would have been extremely rare," Friederike Otto, senior lecturer in climate science at the Grantham Institute for Climate Change and the Environment at Imperial College London, told reporters in a news conference on Monday. "So it would have been basically impossible that they would happen at the same time."
It is unclear how long the record-smashing temperatures will last, as the accuracy for forecasts decreases after a week. While the El Nino event is likely contributing somewhat to the additional heat, increased global temperatures from burning fossil fuels is the main reason the heatwaves are so severe, the researchers said.
MORE: Record-breaking heat waves in US and Europe prove climate change is already here, experts say
However, the heat waves are not evidence of "runaway warming" or climate collapse, Otto said, adding that there is still time to move the needle on greenhouse gas mitigation.
"We still have time to secure a safe and healthy future, but we urgently need to stop burning fossil fuels and invest in decreasing vulnerability," Otto said. "If we do not, tens of thousands of people will keep dying from heat-related causes each year."
veryGood! (39753)
Related
- The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
- Thousands of Reddit communities 'go dark' in protest of new developer fees
- The Largest U.S. Grid Operator Puts 1,200 Mostly Solar Projects on Hold for Two Years
- Mega Millions jackpot rises to $820 million, fifth-largest ever: What you need to know
- Taylor Swift Eras Archive site launches on singer's 35th birthday. What is it?
- Drones show excavation in suspected Gilgo beach killer's back yard. What's next?
- What the Vanderpump Rules Cast Has Been Up to Since Cameras Stopped Rolling
- Germany’s New Government Had Big Plans on Climate, Then Russia Invaded Ukraine. What Happens Now?
- Meta donates $1 million to Trump’s inauguration fund
- America is going through an oil boom — and this time it's different
Ranking
- Hackers hit Rhode Island benefits system in major cyberattack. Personal data could be released soon
- Matthew McConaughey and Wife Camila Alves Let Son Levi Join Instagram After “Holding Out” for 3 Years
- The SEC sues Binance, unveils 13 charges against crypto exchange in sweeping lawsuit
- Dominic Fike and Hunter Schafer Break Up
- Friday the 13th luck? 13 past Mega Millions jackpot wins in December. See top 10 lottery prizes
- How ending affirmative action changed California
- See the First Photos of Tom Sandoval Filming Vanderpump Rules After Cheating Scandal
- Candace Cameron Bure Responds After Miss Benny Alleges Homophobia on Fuller House Set
Recommendation
Gen. Mark Milley's security detail and security clearance revoked, Pentagon says
Mega Millions jackpot grows to $820 million. See winning numbers for July 21.
When insurers can't get insurance
Inside Clean Energy: The US’s New Record in Renewables, Explained in Three Charts
FACT FOCUS: Inspector general’s Jan. 6 report misrepresented as proof of FBI setup
Elon's giant rocket
Hailee Steinfeld and Buffalo Bills Quarterback Josh Allen Turn Up the Heat While Kissing in Mexico
This Kimono Has 4,900+ 5-Star Amazon Reviews, Comes in 25 Colors, and You Can Wear It With Everything